Principal Demographer, Forecasting & Land Use

Houston-Galveston Area Council

$89K — $99K *
Education, Government & Non-Profit
5 - 7 years of experience
Job Overview by Ladders

Qualifications

  • At least five years of experience in demographic and socioeconomic forecasting.
  • Proficiency in developing population, household, and land-use forecasts for regional planning.
  • Strong skills in GIS, quantitative analysis, and data management.
  • Experience with Python or similar scripting tools for automation and modeling.
  • Bachelor's degree in a relevant academic discipline is required.

Responsibilities

  • Lead the Socioeconomic Modeling Group and manage project priorities and staff.
  • Conduct long-range population and employment forecasts at various geographic levels.
  • Develop methodologies and scenarios for regional growth planning applications.
  • Analyze and maintain data related to land use, demographics, and economics.
  • Create socioeconomic inputs for travel demand and transportation plans.
  • Coordinate with various stakeholders on forecasting and data structures.
  • Evaluate the impact of transportation investments on development and growth.

Benefits

  • Opportunities for professional development and mentorship.
  • Collaborative work environment within a regional planning agency.
  • Engagement with diverse stakeholders on significant planning issues.
  • Access to advanced tools and methodologies in forecasting.
Full Job Description
What will I bedoing?
As the Principal Demographer - Land Use & Regional Growth Forecasting, you will lead regional demographic, employment, and land-use forecasting activities that support transportation and regional planning. You will manage the Socioeconomic Modeling Group, oversee parcel- and TAZ-level forecasting and model development, and provide socioeconomic inputs for travel demand modeling, long-range planning, and scenario analysis.
  • Manage and lead the Socioeconomic Modeling Group, including work priorities, schedules, technical direction, staff coordination, and QA/QC.
  • Lead long-range population, household, employment, and land-use forecasts at regional, county, TAZ, parcel, and other geographic levels.
  • Develop growth allocation methodologies, model assumptions, and alternative development scenarios for regional planning applications.
  • Maintain and analyze parcel, building, county appraisal, plat, master-planned community, demographic, economic, and land-use datasets.
  • Develop socioeconomic and land-use inputs for travel demand models, Metropolitan Transportation Plans/RTPs, corridor studies, and scenario planning.
  • Coordinate forecast assumptions, TAZ structures, and socioeconomic datasets with transportation modelers, GIS staff, planners, consultants, and partner agencies.
  • Evaluate relationships among transportation investments, accessibility, development patterns, population, households, and employment.
  • Develop and improve regional socioeconomic and land-use forecasting models using Python, GIS, SQL, R, SAS, UrbanSim, or comparable tools.
  • Prepare technical documentation, reports, presentations, and clear explanations of complex modeling results for technical and nontechnical audiences.
  • Provide technical leadership, mentor staff, and respond to technical and data requests from internal teams and external stakeholders.


KeyQualifications
  • At least five years of related experience in demographic forecasting, socioeconomic forecasting, land-use modeling, regional growth forecasting, transportation planning, or related MPO/DOT forecasting work.
  • Experience developing or supporting population, household, employment, or land-use forecasts for MPO, DOT, travel demand modeling, Metropolitan Transportation Plan/RTP, corridor study, scenario planning, or regional planning applications.
  • Strong GIS, quantitative analysis, data management, spatial analysis, public-sector data, and technical project leadership skills.
  • Experience using Python or similar scripting tools for modeling, automation, QA/QC, debugging, or reproducible analysis.

Do you have...
  • Bachelor's degree in applicable academic discipline orrelatedfield of study.
  • 5years of experienceworking with local government, nonprofit programs, school or in job related duties.

PreferredQualifications
  • Bachelor's degree in Demography, Urban or Regional Planning, Geography, Economics, Statistics, Data Science, Transportation Planning, Environmental Studies, or a related field.
  • Master's degree or PhD in a related field.
  • More than 8years of professional experience with an MPO, state DOT, state or local government, Council of Governments, regional planning agency, university, or public-sector partner organization.
  • Experience supporting socioeconomic forecasts for travel demand models, Metropolitan Transportation Plans/RTPs, scenario planning, or corridor studies.
  • Experience with parcel-level data, county appraisal data, TAZ-level datasets, UrbanSim or comparable land-use models, SAS/R, GIS, and spatial datasets.
  • Experience preparing technical documentation, data dictionaries, QA/QC checks, and presentations for planning or modeling audiences.


SalaryRange: $89,000.00 to $99,000.00

All employees of H-GAC are required to reside within the agency's region of service to support our commitment to excellence in service of our region.

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