Senior Manager, US Forecasting

Let’s do this. Let’s change the world. The Forecasting team at Amgen plays a pivotal role as a strategic partner to Commercial leadership, offering data-backed insights crucial for driving commercial success. As a Forecasting Senior Manager, you will contribute significantly to our inline brand strategy, executing and managing discussions with brand leads and commercial leaders.

The individual in this role will need to strategically influence and challenge a diverse set of collaborators from Commercial, R&D, Medical, Finance, Manufacturing, Access, and Pricing/Contracting, while proficiently understanding the nuances of the particular disease area of interest and markets they support.

This role reports to the Director of Forecasting and operates within the broader framework of Business Analytics and Insights (BAI).

Flexible Commuter role to Thousand Oaks office. You will work on-site 2-3 days a week.

• Ability to build detailed and advanced forecast model (patient, Rx, sales, Rx Based, etc.) projecting units and revenue for our inline products by indication/regions
• Use advanced simulation models (e.g., Monte Carlo analysis, statistical trending) to quantify uncertainty
• Leverage diverse pharmaceutical data sources and their nuances to enhance forecasting approaches and methodologies
• Leads methodology development and ensures consistency across multiple brand forecasts
• Designs forecasting frameworks adaptable for 'what-if' and scenario planning

• Analyze competitors and market dynamics to inform forecasting models and strategic decisions
• Develop an objective brand strategy by integrating insights across multiple functions and capability areas
• Interprets policy and pricing changes (e.g., IRA, access shifts) and quantifies their impact

• Act as the key point of contact for global brand leads, engaging them in forecasting deliverables
• Facilitate discussions and build consensus among partners to establish clear and rigorous worldwide sales expectations for pipeline assets
• Advises cross-functional teams on implications of clinical milestones and competitive events
• Owns multi-brand forecasts; challenges entrenched assumptions; drives process improvements across cycles

• Support leadership in identifying actionable strategies to improve Commercial potential, prioritizing risks and opportunities
• Provide informed recommendations on product development continuation or discontinuation based on market conditions, financial projections, and strategic goals
• Maintains awareness of broader market dynamics and integrates them into TA-level forecasts

• Develop and deliver transparent presentations that articulate key variables in the forecast, ensuring comprehensive understanding for decision-makers
• Use communication and interpersonal skills to influence leadership on recommended courses of action
• Narrates drivers of forecast change; frames forecasts in terms of strategic risks and opportunities

• Collaborate with the broader BAI organization to integrate comprehensive insights and analytics knowledge into forecast development
• Improve the depth and accuracy of forecasts by leveraging a broad spectrum of insights across the organization
• Explores AI/ML and automation; identifies team capability gaps and builds skills.

• Drive productivity and efficiency by streamlining forecasting processes where possible
• Oversees deliverables across brands/assets; ensures forecasts are auditable and scalable

We are all different, yet we all use our unique contributions to serve patients. The forecasting professional we seek is a leader with these qualifications.

Basic Qualifications:

Doctorate degree and 2 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience

OR

Master’s degree and 4 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience

OR

Bachelor’s degree and 6 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience

OR

Associate’s degree and 10 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience

OR

High school diploma / GED and 12 years of Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, or supply chain management experience

Preferred Qualifications:

• Ability to quickly establish credibility with and influence ED/VP level staff
• Knowledge and experience working with industry internal and secondary data sources; experience doing analog and uptake curve analysis
• Proficiency in advanced forecasting techniques, statistical modeling, and data analysis.
• Highly skilled in working collaboratively in a team-based environment and gaining alignment across an organization
• High level of proficiency in Excel, PowerPoint, Word
• Excellent communication skills with the ability to present complex data and insights to both technical and non-technical partners
• Ability to interpret and analyze data trends, identify patterns, and make data-driven decisions
• Experience in contributing to the development of long-term business plans based on forecasting insights

As we work to develop treatments that take care of others, we also work to care for your professional and personal growth and well-being. From our competitive benefits to our collaborative culture, we’ll support your journey every step of the way.

The expected annual salary range for this role in the U.S. (excluding Puerto Rico) is posted. Actual salary will vary based on several factors including but not limited to, relevant skills, experience, and qualifications.

In addition to the base salary, Amgen offers a Total Rewards Plan, based on eligibility, comprising of health and welfare plans for staff and eligible dependents, financial plans with opportunities to save towards retirement or other goals, work/life balance, and career development opportunities that may include:

• A comprehensive employee benefits package, including a Retirement and Savings Plan with generous company contributions, group medical, dental and vision coverage, life and disability insurance, and flexible spending accounts
• A discretionary annual bonus program, or for field sales representatives, a sales-based incentive plan
• Stock-based long-term incentives
• Award-winning time-off plans
• Flexible work models, including remote and hybrid work arrangements, where possible

In any materials you submit, you may redact or remove age-identifying information such as age, date of birth, or dates of school attendance or graduation. You will not be penalized for redacting or removing this information.

Amgen does not have an application deadline for this position; we will continue accepting applications until we receive a sufficient number or select a candidate for the position.

Sponsorship for this role is not guaranteed.

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Salary Range